Quantum Computing Approaches to Portfolio Optimization Under Risk and Market Uncertainty

Abstract

Portfolio optimization under conditions of risk and market uncertainty remains a foundational challenge in financial economics and investment management. Classical optimization frameworks, including mean–variance models and stochastic programming approaches, often struggle with high-dimensional asset universes, nonlinear correlations, and dynamic market regimes. This paper examines quantum computing approaches to portfolio optimization under risk and market uncertainty, focusing on hybrid quantum–classical algorithms designed to enhance combinatorial optimization and probabilistic modeling. By integrating quantum annealing, variational quantum circuits, and quantum-enhanced sampling techniques with classical financial analytics, the study evaluates their potential to improve computational efficiency and scenario sensitivity. The analysis considers both theoretical advantages and practical limitations within the Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) era. The findings suggest that quantum-assisted optimization may complement traditional portfolio models by expanding feasible solution spaces and improving robustness under uncertainty, thereby contributing to more adaptive and resilient investment strategies.